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最新突發《柔佛子民》支持柔王儲出任【首相】快看~民調:國陣能保住柔州嗎?
有人希望柔王儲出任首相….
大選輸贏取決於柔王室 民調:國陣能保住柔州!
專家認為,國陣在第14屆大選的成敗,都取決於備受子民愛戴的柔佛王室。
(八打靈再也15日訊)新加坡尤索夫伊薩東南亞研究院(ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute)一項研究顯示,國陣能在第14屆大選,保住柔佛政權。
根據亞洲新聞台(Channel NewsAsia)報導,負責大馬研究項目的新加坡尤索夫伊薩東南亞研究院協調員哈欽森(Hutchinson)說,儘管巫統在柔佛的支持率下跌,但還是能穩住柔佛政權。
新加坡尤索夫伊薩東南亞研究院(ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute)
巫統和國陣的支持在近年來或許下跌了,即從2008年的65%至70%,跌至2013年的55%,但巫統和國陣依然強大。
儘管如此,他說,一些屬於國陣的城市選區,如埔萊(Pulai)、巴西古當(Pasir Gudang)和地不佬(Tebrau),情況則岌岌可危,或落入反對黨手裡。
蒲萊國會議員是內政部副部長努嘉茲蘭、巴西古當國會議員是諾瑪拉(Normala Abdul Samad),而地不佬國會議員是馬華的邱思祥。由於邱思祥卸下馬華地不佬區會主席,因此預計他無意守土。
柔佛共計26個國會議席,預計會是第14屆大選的關鍵州屬,而希望聯盟早已表明會火力全開,專攻柔佛,特別是土團黨總裁丹斯里慕尤丁曾是柔佛大臣。
2016年6月,首相兼巫統主席拿督斯里納吉宣布,巫統最高理事會一致決定,基於時任副首相丹斯里慕尤丁和吉打時任州務大臣拿督斯里慕克里茲為反對黨站台,攻擊政府,違反了黨紀律,因此開除2人黨籍。
巫統開除2人後,慕尤丁成立土團黨,並出任土團黨總裁,而慕克里茲則出任土團黨署理總裁。
支持柔王儲出任首相
有關調查顯示,35%的受訪者(全是選民)表明,他們會在支持國陣,而10%受訪者則表明支持任何一個反對黨。
儘管如此,調查顯示,有55%的受訪者不願表態,有者則還未決定要支持誰。
另外,哈欽森說,國陣在第14屆大選的成敗,都取決於備受子民愛戴的柔佛王室。
有受訪者認為,若由柔佛王儲端姑依斯邁出任首相,就更好。
新加坡尤索夫伊薩東南亞研究院客座研究員瑟麗娜博士說,柔佛人民給予柔佛蘇丹和王儲十分的信任。
人民支持他們,因為他們言出必行。
「蘇丹依布拉欣陛下和東姑依斯邁講到做到,因此可取信於民」
民調:柔國陣成與敗 全看柔王室
新加坡尤索夫依薩東南亞研究院民調顯示,第14屆全國大選國陣在柔州的成敗,取決於備受子民愛戴的柔佛王室。
該研究院馬來西亞研究小組主任弗蘭希斯在前日發布的民調中指出,雖然國陣可能在一些選情激烈的城市選區敗北,但柔州政權還不至於會落入反對黨手中。
民調顯示,有55%柔佛選民對當前政局到厭倦,但仍未表態是支持國陣或希盟;國陣在柔佛的成敗,很大程度上胥視國陣與王室的關係。
有受訪者認為,若由柔佛王儲端姑依斯邁出任首相,就更好。
「人民支持他們,因為他們言出必行。」
民調也顯示,許多柔佛選民對所選的議員未返回選區,以及一馬發展公司課題和前首相敦馬哈迪重返政壇現象感到厭倦,但對柔佛王室非常尊重。
「當中就以行動黨國會領袖林吉祥掌管的振林山為例,該地選民已表明會投選服務選民的候選人。但若投票日當天若下雨,選民則可能也不會出門投票。
對此,尤索夫依薩東南亞研究院客座教授莎麗娜就認為,蘇丹依布拉欣陛下和東姑依斯邁能夠兌現承諾,成為兩人獲得人民支持的原因。
Royal family』s role important in how Johor votes in GE14, says study
KUALA LUMPUR: A Singapore think tank has found that whether the Barisan Nasional loses seats in its bastion of Johor in the next general election could well depend on the Johor royal family, which is held in great esteem by locals.
Some of those interviewed by the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute even said the country would be much better off if the Tunku Mahkota of Johor, Tunku Ismail Sultan Ibrahim, were to be prime minister.
The ISEAS-Yusof Ishak survey of Johor voters in 2017 showed that voters seemed undecided which way to vote, with neither the BN nor the opposition offering a compelling reason to choose them.
Channel NewsAsia (CNA) quoted Dr Serina Abdul Rahman, a visiting fellow at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute as saying Johor residents had great trust and respect for the Johor Sultan and Tunku Ismail, next in line to the Johor throne.
「The people support them because they do what they say,」 she added.
Dr Francis Hutchinson, coordinator for the Malaysia study programme at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, was quoted as saying Johor had been underpinned by a strong sultan who had exercised control over aspects of state administration, particularly religion.」
The study, based on in-depth focus group discussions and interviews with residents, was presented at a conference at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute on Dec 13.
Hutchinson said Johor was unlikely to fall to the opposition. Johor, with 26 parliamentary seats is expected to be a key battleground in GE14 and Pakatan Harapan (PH) has already indicated that it is focusing on winning the state.
He said the BN coalition was in danger of losing seats, particularly in the urbanised constituencies of Pulai, Pasir Gudang and Tebrau.
In this context, the CNA report said, the royal family might have an important role to play.
Many voters, Hutchinson was quoted as saying, seemed undecided which way to vote, with neither the BN nor the opposition offering a compelling reason to choose them, adding this was a reflection of the national trend.
The study also found that in the Gelang Patah parliamentary constituency, for example, the sentiment was that whoever provided residents with assistance and handouts would get their vote. Some voters said they might not even bother to vote if it rained.
There was, the study revealed, voter fatigue with politics in the constituency held by DAP supremo Lim Kit Siang.
Residents complained that politicians and political groups no longer walked the ground there. This has fuelled some disenchantment with local politics and created an ambivalence over who wins the election.
According to the CNA report, the study found that some residents were tired of the 1MDB scandal and disillusioned with the intense politicking that has seen Dr Mahathir Mohamad returning to politics to helm the opposition.