根據《透視大馬》的報道，雪州達魯益山研究所（IDE）副主席莫哈末禮端教授說，基於新選區的形態和特徵，「巫統將是贏家，但馬華、民政黨和國大黨將會『幾乎被埋葬』。
如果莫哈末禮端教授的話是真的，我不懂馬華、民政黨和國大黨該如何應對。
禮端教授是雪州達魯益山研究所（IDE）的副主席。根據《透視大馬》的報道，該研究所針對選舉委員會使用新重劃選區所做出的民調顯示，巫統將在來屆大選勝出，但國陣的盟黨卻會輸掉全部。
基於新選區的形態和特徵，禮端教授說，「巫統將是贏家，但馬華、民政黨和國大黨將會『幾乎被埋葬』。」他也指這是在「操縱選區邊界」。
新的邊界將會製造更多單一族群的選區，比如：更多以馬來人為主的選區，以及少數以非馬來人為主的選區。
批評者和評論認為，新邊界讓國陣擁有更大的優勢，因為在第14屆大選中，馬來人將會在很大程度上支持該黨（這是巫統的解讀）。
這當然備受質疑（指大部份的馬來人將會支持巫統。但是重劃選區確實對國陣有利，這是巫統無法否認的）。但這是巫統的事。
我們先把禮端教授的言論放一旁，馬華、民政黨和國大黨難道就沒有看到增加更多以馬來人為主的選區，會對他們帶來什麼後果嗎？
這些選區最終都會由巫統上陣，而不是他們。
想想看，選委會的選區重劃建議報告是由首相提呈的，後者也是國陣主席。按照慣例，國陣成員黨必須支持盟黨的任何議案。因此，馬華、民政黨和國大黨也必須受到此約束。所以他們需要支持通過該議案，即使這可能對他們不利。這簡直是自殺行為。
重劃選區本身也富有爭議。事實上，它一直存在爭議，而我們都知道其原因。因此，我不會在此重複點評這些「不規矩」的舉動，因為很多人已經提過了。
而我們也知道，當選委會的選區重劃建議報告提呈至國會時所激起的憤怒，在還未進入辯論和投票之前。但難道有人會懷疑國會最終不會通過這份報告嗎？
再說，在撰寫本文時，反假新聞法案也在選委會的報告掀起的風波還未平息時提呈至國會。
可惜它最終也會通過。我希望我猜錯。
除了提呈法案的人，很多人都反對這項法案。這是自然的。
反假新聞法案也被批評是「設計」讓國陣在來屆大選中獲勝。儘管國陣后座議員俱樂部否認政府在加速通過法案，用以在來屆大選對付反對黨的說辭。
不論是大選前後——我在早前就說過。反假新聞法很可能會被政府濫用。這是非常容易的。
政府保證該法律不會扼殺言論自由，但這並無法減輕我們的恐懼和擔憂。
假新聞的定義仍然模糊，部長們的回應，仍然沒有回答到最基本的兩項重要問題：1）什麼構成假新聞，以及2）誰來決定什麼是假新聞。
人們普遍認為——假新聞是政府說了算，並由政府來決定什麼是真什麼是假。
作為一名記者，我認為：記者、專欄作家、評論員都非常害怕。他們有被指認錯誤的風險。
其他人也同樣有風險。這表示人民也會受到「威脅」。我說得溫和一點好了，這對國家來說並非好事。我們已經有足夠的法律來對付這種威脅了。
反假新聞法案絕對不能成為一項法律。
文章來源：
星洲日報／游車河‧作者：莫辛阿都拉‧自由撰稿人·2018.04.02
On redelineation and Anti-Fake News Bill
The general consensus among the people is that fake news is what the government says it is, and it is the government that will decide what is fake and what is not.
By Mohsin Abdullah
If what Dr Redzuan Othman says is true, then I don’t know what to make of MCA, Gerakan and MIC.
Dr Redzuan is deputy chairman of think tank Institut Darul Ehsan. And what he said was, as reported by The Malaysian Insight, based on the institute’s study, Umno will win GE14 while their allies in BN will lose all due to the Election Commission’s redelineation exercise.
Umno will win big but MCA, Gerakan and MIC will be almost wiped out because of the shape and character of the new electoral constituencies, said Dr Redzuan, or as he puts it, “the manipulation of electoral boundaries”.
The new boundaries will create more monoethnic constituencies, i.e. more Malay majority seats and a smaller number of non-Malay majority seats.
Detractors or critics see the new boundaries as something to give BN an advantage on the presumption Malays will largely support Umno in GE14.
That is debatable, of course, (the part that says majority of Malays will vote for Umno). However, the part about the new boundaries giving advantage to BN (Umno) is hard to argue. But, that’s a matter for Umno.
As for MCA, Gerakan and MIC, leaving aside what Dr Redzuan had said, did they not see the consequences on them due to the creation of more Malay-majority constituencies which incidentally will be contested by Umno, not them?
Come to think of it, the EC redelineation report was tabled by the prime minister who is also BN chairman. By convention BN components are compelled to support any motion tabled by the coalition.
Hence, MCA, Gerakan and MIC are bound by such convention. So their voting in favor of the report is expected or given, although it could very well be detrimental to them, or even suicidal.
The delineation itself is wrapped in controversy. In fact, it has always been controversial and we all know the reasons why.
Therefore I will not be repeating the long list of “irregularities” which many have already highlighted.
And we know also there was much furor in the Parliament when the EC redelineation report was tabled before those opposing it were defeated or rather outvoted. But then was there any doubt that the report would not be passed by the Parliament?
Moving on, at the time of writing this article, the Anti-Fake News Bill tabled in the Parliament a few days before the EC report is still kicking up a storm inside and outside the Parliament.
Sadly, it too will eventually be passed by the Parliament
Many are against the proposed law except those proposing it. Naturally.
The anti-fake news law is seen by the critics as having been designed to give BN an advantage come GE14, despite the BN Backbenchers Club’s denial that the government is speeding it up in turning the bill into law so as to use it on the opposition in the coming election.
Before or after the election, I must say what I have said earlier. The anti-fake news law, as envisaged by the government, can be easily misused and abused.
The government’s assurance that the law will not stifle freedom of expression has not allay fears and concerns.
The definition of fake news is still vague and all the talk by ministers about the law has not answered two very basic but important questions:
1. What constitutes fake news, and
2. Who decides what is fake news.
The general consensus among the people is that fake news is what the government says it is, and it is the government that will decide what is fake and what is not.
As a journalist, I would say this: Journalists, columnists, commentators have much to fear. They are at the risk of being wrongly accused.
But others are at risk too. You, the rakyat, are also being threatened. That, to put it mildly, is not good for the nation.
We have got enough laws already to deal with the menace!
The Anti-Fake News Bill must not become a law!
(Mohsin Abdullah is a veteran journalist who writes about this, that and everything else.)